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OverOverUnderUnderUnder
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Under — but Over won instead.
Club León FC vs. CD Guadalajara: CD Guadalajara O/U 0.5
Resolved Over. 60% of the top Polymarket traders held Under. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
5
Under 60%
Total Value
$120.29
Combined PnL
-$61.47
Smart Money Signal
Under
3 of 5 top traders (60%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%4 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Over100%
Under0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Over2 traders
Total Value$120.29
Total Shares120
Combined PnL+$28.09
Under3 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares383
Combined PnL-$89.56
Over — 40%Under — 60%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
CI cigarettes | Overavg 78¢ | $78 | $100 | +$22 | 50% 66106-66575 (132681) |
OM omnibus-076daa<$100 | Overavg 70¢ | $14.2 | $20.29 | +$6.09 | 50% 23577-23595 (47172) |
SN SnakeBallCTR<$100 | Underavg 22.7¢ | $73.78 | — | -$73.78 | 50% 49072-48621 (97693) |
LI LimousinCTR<$100 | Underavg 27¢ | $37.7 | — | -$10.18 | 47% 2600-2967 (5567) |
MA MadridTimeCTR<$100 | Underavg 28¢ | $5.6 | — | -$5.6 | 45% 2507-3006 (5513) |
CI
cigarettesInvested
$78
Value
$100
PnL
+$22
Record
50%
66106-66575 (132681)
OM
omnibus-076daa<$100Invested
$14.2
Value
$20.29
PnL
+$6.09
Record
50%
23577-23595 (47172)
SN
SnakeBallCTR<$100Invested
$73.78
Value
—
PnL
-$73.78
Record
50%
49072-48621 (97693)
LI
LimousinCTR<$100Invested
$37.7
Value
—
PnL
-$10.18
Record
47%
2600-2967 (5567)
MA
MadridTimeCTR<$100Invested
$5.6
Value
—
PnL
-$5.6
Record
45%
2507-3006 (5513)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x9024845b...cb862c
Slug
mex-leo-gua-2026-11-08-team-total-away-0pt5