Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Back to Markets

Consensus Lost ✗

Smart money consensus was Yes — but No won instead.

FC RFS leading at halftime?

Resolved No. 50% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was wrong.

View on Polymarket

RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

10

Yes 80%

Total Value

$100

Combined PnL

-$3.56

Smart Money Signal

Yes

5 of 10 top traders (50%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%9 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Loading chart data…

Outcome Probabilities

Yes0%

No100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

No5 traders

Total Value$100

Total Shares100

Combined PnL+$1.65

Yes5 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares752

Combined PnL-$5.22

No — 50%Yes — 50%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
dips.	Noavg 98.3¢	$100	$100	+$1.65	46% 12136-14078 (26214)
CA canupdatelateronCTR<$100	Yesavg 1¢	$3.68	—	-$3.68	63% 673-401 (1074)
LI LightParadoxCTR<$100	Yesavg 3.8¢	$9.19	—	-$9.19	47% 2157-2403 (4560)
MA MadridTimeCTR<$100	Yesavg 2¢	$79.5	—	+$5.33	47% 2148-2414 (4562)
LI LimousinCTR<$100	Yesavg 4.8¢	$59.74	—	+$2.33	49% 2223-2352 (4575)
E4 e46m3<$100	No	—	—	+$0	62% 35877-22304 (58181)
0X 0x1F85EB9C455c5BDEF5D96C2739076678c7157B02-1778811447702<$100	Noavg 88.6¢	—	—	+$0	46% 6185-7387 (13572)
0X 0x4E72c22CD76f9973a48aedfd79FeEAaCC8B7FFb9-1778811541343<$100	Noavg 88.6¢	—	—	+$0	46% 6881-8137 (15018)
ME merodCTR<$100	Yesavg 1¢	—	—	+$0	29% 3578-8699 (12277)
0X 0x8B8b9c565C8dCA43cfb767F0F2C20B2B323d2512-1778811726293<$100	Noavg 88.6¢	—	—	+$0	46% 6626-7759 (14385)

Invested

$100

Value

$100

PnL

+$1.65

Record

46%

12136-14078 (26214)

canupdatelateronCTR<$100

Invested

$3.68

Value

—

PnL

-$3.68

Record

63%

673-401 (1074)

LightParadoxCTR<$100

Invested

$9.19

Value

—

PnL

-$9.19

Record

47%

2157-2403 (4560)

MadridTimeCTR<$100

Invested

$79.5

Value

—

PnL

+$5.33

Record

47%

2148-2414 (4562)

LimousinCTR<$100

Invested

$59.74

Value

—

PnL

+$2.33

Record

49%

2223-2352 (4575)

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

62%

35877-22304 (58181)

0x1F85EB9C455c5BDEF5D96C2739076678c7157B02-1778811447702<$100

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

46%

6185-7387 (13572)

0x4E72c22CD76f9973a48aedfd79FeEAaCC8B7FFb9-1778811541343<$100

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

46%

6881-8137 (15018)

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

29%

3578-8699 (12277)

0x8B8b9c565C8dCA43cfb767F0F2C20B2B323d2512-1778811726293<$100

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

46%

6626-7759 (14385)

Smart Money Signal

Yes

5 of 10 top traders (50%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%9 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Chat

Market Info

Condition ID

0x5c4559d5...f8e24d

Slug

lva1-rfc-rfs-2026-11-08-halftime-result-away

Traders in this Market

dips.

No — $100

canupdatelateron

Yes — $0

LightParadox

Yes — $0

MadridTime

Yes — $0

Limousin

Yes — $0

e46m3

No — $0

0x1F85EB9C455c5BDEF5D96C2739076678c7157B02-1778811447702

No — $0

0x4E72c22CD76f9973a48aedfd79FeEAaCC8B7FFb9-1778811541343

No — $0

merod

Yes — $0

0x8B8b9c565C8dCA43cfb767F0F2C20B2B323d2512-1778811726293

No — $0

Trade on Polymarket