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Consensus Lost ✗

Smart money consensus was Yes — but No won instead.

Will Riga FC win on 2026-11-01?

Resolved No. 75% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was wrong.

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RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

8

Yes 71%

Total Value

$5.2K

Combined PnL

$609.38

Smart Money Signal

Yes

6 of 8 top traders (75%)6 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Yes0%

No100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

No2 traders

Total Value$5.1K

Total Shares5,145

Combined PnL+$4.0K

Yes6 traders

Total Value$24.95

Total Shares4,296

Combined PnL$-3.3K

No — 25%Yes — 75%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
GO GoalLineGhost	Noavg 21.7¢	$1.2K	$5.1K	+$3.9K	50% 25666-25500 (51166)
BE Betziko<$100	Noavg 72.6¢	$29.05	$40	+$10.95	54% 6427-5413 (11840)
HRTradingCTR<$100	Yesavg 77.7¢	$54.35	$24.95	-$29.4	53% 5642-5057 (10699)
RN1CTR	Yesavg 79¢	$3.1K	—	$-3.1K	54% 57170-49418 (106588)
0X 0xbCa82fF9891c5358b33D565C4F4739e4d812b680-1779481574004CTR	Yesavg 70¢	$300	—	-$210	56% 157-124 (281)
RE retarbCTR<$100	Yesavg 27.1¢	$2.94	—	-$1.17	48% 4253-4544 (8797)
0X 0x8Cb25E16F2F0893C1bd4d7077325BD4a3b4AdCf5-1774682577191CTR<$100	Yesavg 26¢	$2.6	—	-$2.6	47% 4653-5172 (9825)
VeryLucky888CTR<$100	Yesavg 90¢	$21.15	—	-$21.15	58% 42700-31074 (73774)

Invested

$1,160.35

Value

$5.1K

PnL

+$3.9K

Record

50%

25666-25500 (51166)

Invested

$29.05

Value

$40

PnL

+$10.95

Record

54%

6427-5413 (11840)

HRTradingCTR<$100

Invested

$54.35

Value

$24.95

PnL

-$29.4

Record

53%

5642-5057 (10699)

Invested

$3,082.03

Value

—

PnL

$-3.1K

Record

54%

57170-49418 (106588)

0xbCa82fF9891c5358b33D565C4F4739e4d812b680-1779481574004CTR

Invested

$300

Value

—

PnL

-$210

Record

56%

157-124 (281)

Invested

$2.94

Value

—

PnL

-$1.17

Record

48%

4253-4544 (8797)

0x8Cb25E16F2F0893C1bd4d7077325BD4a3b4AdCf5-1774682577191CTR<$100

Invested

$2.6

Value

—

PnL

-$2.6

Record

47%

4653-5172 (9825)

VeryLucky888CTR<$100

Invested

$21.15

Value

—

PnL

-$21.15

Record

58%

42700-31074 (73774)

Smart Money Signal

Yes

6 of 8 top traders (75%)6 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0x392ae26b...8a328f

Slug

lva1-ogr-rfc-2026-11-01-rfc

Traders in this Market

GoalLineGhost

No — $5.1K

Betziko

No — $40

HRTrading

Yes — $24.95

RN1

Yes — $0

0xbCa82fF9891c5358b33D565C4F4739e4d812b680-1779481574004

Yes — $0

retarb

Yes — $0

0x8Cb25E16F2F0893C1bd4d7077325BD4a3b4AdCf5-1774682577191

Yes — $0

VeryLucky888

Yes — $0

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