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Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was No — but Yes won instead.
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 16°C on October 27?
Resolved Yes. 80% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
5
No 80%
Total Value
$75.04
Combined PnL
$0
Smart Money Signal
No
4 of 5 top traders (80%)
Market Activity
Loading chart data…
Outcome Probabilities
Yes100%
No0%
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x71aea22b...7402e1
Slug
lowest-temperature-in-tokyo-on-october-27-2026-16c