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Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was No — but Yes won instead.
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 13°C on November 14?
Resolved Yes. 100% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
9
No 100%
Total Value
$0
Combined PnL
$0
Smart Money Signal
No
9 of 9 top traders (100%)
Market Activity
Loading chart data…
Outcome Probabilities
Yes100%
No0%
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x5c16f7fb...1cea86
Slug
lowest-temperature-in-tokyo-on-november-14-2026-13c