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Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was No — but Yes won instead.
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 18°C on October 24?
Resolved Yes. 80% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
5
No 80%
Total Value
$19
Combined PnL
$0
Smart Money Signal
No
4 of 5 top traders (80%)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes100%
No0%
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xa289b906...b619ea
Slug
lowest-temperature-in-shanghai-on-october-24-2026-18c