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Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was No — but Yes won instead.
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C on October 12?
Resolved Yes. 67% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
6
No 67%
Total Value
$14.75
Combined PnL
$0
Smart Money Signal
No
4 of 6 top traders (67%)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes100%
No0%
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x3e8708dc...377b52
Slug
lowest-temperature-in-shanghai-on-october-12-2026-19c