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Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was No — but Yes won instead.
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 15°C on November 15?
Resolved Yes. 100% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
6
No 100%
Total Value
$13.39
Combined PnL
$0
Smart Money Signal
No
6 of 6 top traders (100%)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes100%
No0%
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x9641a4d5...84df3a
Slug
lowest-temperature-in-shanghai-on-november-15-2026-15c