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Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Yes — but No won instead.
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 4°C on October 19?
Resolved No. 60% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
5
Yes 60%
Total Value
$25
Combined PnL
$0
Smart Money Signal
Yes
3 of 5 top traders (60%)
Market Activity
Loading chart data…
Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x05953772...930af6
Slug
lowest-temperature-in-paris-on-october-19-2026-4c