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Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was No — but Yes won instead.
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 54-55°F on October 30?
Resolved Yes. 60% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
5
No 60%
Total Value
$96.94
Combined PnL
$0
Smart Money Signal
No
3 of 5 top traders (60%)
Market Activity
Loading chart data…
Outcome Probabilities
Yes100%
No0%
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x9e4a5643...37e163
Slug
lowest-temperature-in-nyc-on-october-30-2026-54-55f