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Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Yes — but No won instead.
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on November 5?
Resolved No. 31% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
13
Yes 31%
Total Value
$38.31
Combined PnL
$0
Smart Money Signal
Yes
4 of 13 top traders (31%)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xe5df48a3...9fcf50
Slug
lowest-temperature-in-nyc-on-november-5-2026-64-65f