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Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was No — but Yes won instead.
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 56-57°F on November 4?
Resolved Yes. 64% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
11
No 64%
Total Value
$40.35
Combined PnL
$0
Smart Money Signal
No
7 of 11 top traders (64%)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes100%
No0%
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x7267b0a4...233e6b
Slug
lowest-temperature-in-nyc-on-november-4-2026-56-57f