Back to Markets
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was No — but Yes won instead.
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 50-51°F on November 2?
Resolved Yes. 80% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
5
No 80%
Total Value
$0.01
Combined PnL
$0
Smart Money Signal
No
4 of 5 top traders (80%)
Market Activity
Loading chart data…
Outcome Probabilities
Yes100%
No0%
Chat
Market Info
Condition ID
0xdfce91e0...67325c
Slug
lowest-temperature-in-nyc-on-november-2-2026-50-51f