Back to Markets
balthazarCTR<$100YesYes
LucerysCTR<$100YesYesYes
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Yes — but No won instead.
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 48-49°F on November 13?
Resolved No. 100% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
5
Yes 100%
Total Value
$0
Combined PnL
-$5.39
Smart Money Signal
Yes
5 of 5 top traders (100%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
Loading chart data…
Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Yes5 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares54
Combined PnL-$5.39
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
balthazarCTR<$100 | Yesavg 9.1¢ | $2.64 | — | -$2.64 | 44% 5045-6487 (11532) |
QW qwen300.fundCTR<$100 | Yesavg 9.1¢ | $0.91 | — | -$0.91 | 29% 3160-7828 (10988) |
LucerysCTR<$100 | Yesavg 9.1¢ | $0.73 | — | -$0.73 | 36% 3731-6727 (10458) |
LU luciebotCTR<$100 | Yesavg 9.1¢ | $0.67 | — | -$0.67 | 27% 673-1791 (2464) |
AN anothercoinCTR<$100 | Yesavg 9.1¢ | $0.45 | — | -$0.45 | 37% 1518-2567 (4085) |
balthazarCTR<$100Invested
$2.64
Value
—
PnL
-$2.64
Record
44%
5045-6487 (11532)
QW
qwen300.fundCTR<$100Invested
$0.91
Value
—
PnL
-$0.91
Record
29%
3160-7828 (10988)
LucerysCTR<$100Invested
$0.73
Value
—
PnL
-$0.73
Record
36%
3731-6727 (10458)
LU
luciebotCTR<$100Invested
$0.67
Value
—
PnL
-$0.67
Record
27%
673-1791 (2464)
AN
anothercoinCTR<$100Invested
$0.45
Value
—
PnL
-$0.45
Record
37%
1518-2567 (4085)
Chat
Market Info
Condition ID
0xf78cde87...a64f65
Slug
lowest-temperature-in-nyc-on-november-13-2026-48-49f