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YesYes
balthazarCTR<$100YesNoNoNo
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Yes — but No won instead.
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on November 8?
Resolved No. 50% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
6
Yes 100%
Total Value
$0
Combined PnL
-$0.95
Smart Money Signal
Yes
3 of 6 top traders (50%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Yes3 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares10
Combined PnL-$0.95
No3 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares0
Combined PnL+$0
Yes — 50%No — 50%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0x62D56a93516DB0181F7cDEa919191EC07Fa43D4F-1793322863179CTR<$100 | Yesavg 3.2¢ | $0.18 | — | -$0.5 | 21% 608-2274 (2882) |
AN anothercoinCTR<$100 | Yesavg 9.1¢ | $0.45 | — | -$0.45 | 35% 1158-2115 (3273) |
balthazarCTR<$100 | Yes | — | — | +$0 | 30% 35457-83867 (119324) |
NO northdrawer<$100 | No | — | — | +$0 | 54% 25722-21534 (47256) |
GO godblessme2026<$100 | Noavg 99.9¢ | — | — | +$0 | 42% 15337-20800 (36137) |
LU luciebot<$100 | Noavg 99.8¢ | — | — | +$0 | 22% 3414-11955 (15369) |
0X
0x62D56a93516DB0181F7cDEa919191EC07Fa43D4F-1793322863179CTR<$100Invested
$0.18
Value
—
PnL
-$0.5
Record
21%
608-2274 (2882)
AN
anothercoinCTR<$100Invested
$0.45
Value
—
PnL
-$0.45
Record
35%
1158-2115 (3273)
balthazarCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
30%
35457-83867 (119324)
NO
northdrawer<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
54%
25722-21534 (47256)
GO
godblessme2026<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
42%
15337-20800 (36137)
LU
luciebot<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
22%
3414-11955 (15369)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x7627728b...fd8679
Slug
lowest-temperature-in-miami-on-november-8-2026-80-81f