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YesYes
balthazar<$100NoNoYesNoNo
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Yes — but No won instead.
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 72-73°F on November 8?
Resolved No. 43% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
7
Yes 100%
Total Value
$0
Combined PnL
-$12.56
Smart Money Signal
Yes
3 of 7 top traders (43%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%7 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Yes3 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares38
Combined PnL-$12.56
No4 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares0
Combined PnL+$0
Yes — 43%No — 57%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
BI BilberryCTR<$100 | Yesavg 37.7¢ | $12.44 | — | -$12.06 | 53% 5080-4437 (9517) |
0X 0x62D56a93516DB0181F7cDEa919191EC07Fa43D4F-1793322863179CTR<$100 | Yesavg 3.2¢ | $0.18 | — | -$0.5 | 21% 608-2274 (2882) |
balthazar<$100 | Noavg 65¢ | — | — | +$0 | 30% 35457-83867 (119324) |
AN anothercoin<$100 | Noavg 65.2¢ | — | — | +$0 | 35% 1158-2115 (3273) |
NO northdrawerCTR<$100 | Yes | — | — | +$0 | 54% 25722-21534 (47256) |
QU quietparcel<$100 | Noavg 63.6¢ | — | — | +$0 | 50% 21529-21407 (42936) |
LU luciebot<$100 | Noavg 42¢ | — | — | +$0 | 22% 3414-11955 (15369) |
BI
BilberryCTR<$100Invested
$12.44
Value
—
PnL
-$12.06
Record
53%
5080-4437 (9517)
0X
0x62D56a93516DB0181F7cDEa919191EC07Fa43D4F-1793322863179CTR<$100Invested
$0.18
Value
—
PnL
-$0.5
Record
21%
608-2274 (2882)
balthazar<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
30%
35457-83867 (119324)
AN
anothercoin<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
35%
1158-2115 (3273)
NO
northdrawerCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
54%
25722-21534 (47256)
QU
quietparcel<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
50%
21529-21407 (42936)
LU
luciebot<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
22%
3414-11955 (15369)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xa61336ae...fa7180
Slug
lowest-temperature-in-miami-on-november-8-2026-72-73f