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HaradwaithCTR<$100YesYes
balthazar<$100NoNoNoNo
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Yes — but No won instead.
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 70-71°F on November 8?
Resolved No. 33% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
6
Yes 100%
Total Value
$0
Combined PnL
-$2.78
Smart Money Signal
Yes
2 of 6 top traders (33%)2 hold an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Yes2 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares35
Combined PnL-$2.78
No4 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares0
Combined PnL+$0
Yes — 33%No — 67%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HaradwaithCTR<$100 | Yesavg 7.7¢ | $2.29 | — | -$2.29 | 57% 41489-31239 (72728) |
0X 0x62D56a93516DB0181F7cDEa919191EC07Fa43D4F-1793322863179CTR<$100 | Yesavg 3.2¢ | $0.18 | — | -$0.5 | 21% 608-2274 (2882) |
balthazar<$100 | Noavg 90¢ | — | — | +$0 | 30% 35457-83867 (119324) |
AN anothercoin<$100 | Noavg 91.4¢ | — | — | +$0 | 35% 1158-2115 (3273) |
NO northdrawer<$100 | No | — | — | +$0 | 54% 25722-21534 (47256) |
LU luciebot<$100 | Noavg 89.5¢ | — | — | +$0 | 22% 3414-11955 (15369) |
HaradwaithCTR<$100Invested
$2.29
Value
—
PnL
-$2.29
Record
57%
41489-31239 (72728)
0X
0x62D56a93516DB0181F7cDEa919191EC07Fa43D4F-1793322863179CTR<$100Invested
$0.18
Value
—
PnL
-$0.5
Record
21%
608-2274 (2882)
balthazar<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
30%
35457-83867 (119324)
AN
anothercoin<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
35%
1158-2115 (3273)
NO
northdrawer<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
54%
25722-21534 (47256)
LU
luciebot<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
22%
3414-11955 (15369)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x5e701efe...b02787
Slug
lowest-temperature-in-miami-on-november-8-2026-70-71f