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Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Yes — but No won instead.
Will the lowest temperature in London be 11°C on October 3?
Resolved No. 50% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
5
Yes 50%
Total Value
$70.04
Combined PnL
$0
Smart Money Signal
Yes
3 of 5 top traders (50%)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xbd95a462...646064
Slug
lowest-temperature-in-london-on-october-3-2026-11c