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Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on September 10?
Positions of the top Polymarket traders in this market · ended Sep 10
SIGNAL
📊
Open
Consensus Traders
0
Total Value
$0
Combined PnL
$0
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes6%
No95%
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EV Calculator
Consensus % is how many tracked traders hold a side, not a win probability.
Break-even chance6.8%
5.5¢ price + 1.0¢ spread + 0.3¢ fee (Other / General 5%). Win more often than this and the bet pays.
Expected Value—
Expected ROIenter your estimate
Max Profit
+$1369.75
Max Loss
-$100.00
Shares
1469.8
A market order pays the taker fee and crosses the spread (assumed 1.0¢); a limit order pays no fee but may not fill. The fee category is a guess from the title.
Market Info
Condition ID
0x7db2a28c...07b9cc
Slug
lowest-temperature-in-hong-kong-on-september-10-2026-26c