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Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Yes — but No won instead.
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on October 22?
Resolved No. 80% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
10
Yes 80%
Total Value
$53
Combined PnL
$0
Smart Money Signal
Yes
8 of 10 top traders (80%)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x465bc591...af1de2
Slug
lowest-temperature-in-hong-kong-on-october-22-2026-28c