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Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was No — but Yes won instead.
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on October 19?
Resolved Yes. 92% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
13
No 92%
Total Value
$56.7
Combined PnL
$0
Smart Money Signal
No
12 of 13 top traders (92%)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes100%
No0%
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x9a98d59a...09cd92
Slug
lowest-temperature-in-hong-kong-on-october-19-2026-26c