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Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was No — but Yes won instead.
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on October 10?
Resolved Yes. 75% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
12
No 75%
Total Value
$30.89
Combined PnL
$0
Smart Money Signal
No
9 of 12 top traders (75%)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes100%
No0%
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x9ac33a5d...5c089c
Slug
lowest-temperature-in-hong-kong-on-october-10-2026-25c