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Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Yes — but No won instead.
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on November 8?
Resolved No. 100% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
16
Yes 100%
Total Value
$8.2
Combined PnL
$0
Smart Money Signal
Yes
16 of 16 top traders (100%)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x48341991...29380c
Slug
lowest-temperature-in-hong-kong-on-november-8-2026-26c