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Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was No — but Yes won instead.
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on July 29?
Resolved Yes. 87.5% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
5
No 87.5%
Total Value
$3.0K
Combined PnL
$0
Smart Money Signal
No
4 of 5 top traders (87.5%)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes100%
No0%
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x7ed3dd43...0c147b
Slug
lowest-temperature-in-hong-kong-on-july-29-2026-26c