Back to Markets
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on August 29?
Positions of the top Polymarket traders in this market · ended Aug 29
SIGNAL
📊
Open
Consensus Traders
0
Total Value
$0
Combined PnL
$0
Market Activity
Loading chart data…
Outcome Probabilities
Yes2%
No98%
Chat
EV Calculator
Consensus % is how many tracked traders hold a side, not a win probability.
Break-even chance3.1%
2.0¢ price + 1.0¢ spread + 0.1¢ fee (Other / General 5%). Win more often than this and the bet pays.
Expected Value—
Expected ROIenter your estimate
Max Profit
+$3079.14
Max Loss
-$100.00
Shares
3179.1
A market order pays the taker fee and crosses the spread (assumed 1.0¢); a limit order pays no fee but may not fill. The fee category is a guess from the title.
Market Info
Condition ID
0xdf7ffd03...71d918
Slug
lowest-temperature-in-hong-kong-on-august-29-2026-26c