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Consensus Lost ✗

Smart money consensus was Under — but Over won instead.

Real Betis Balompié vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 0.5

Resolved Over. 53% of the top Polymarket traders held Under. The smart money was wrong.

View on Polymarket
RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

19

Under 100%

Total Value

$0

Combined PnL

-$388.2

Smart Money Signal

Under

10 of 19 top traders (53%)10 hold an outcome priced under 50%18 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity
Loading chart data…

Outcome Probabilities

Over100%
Under0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Under10 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares5,751
Combined PnL-$388.2
Over9 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares0
Combined PnL+$0
Under — 53%Over — 47%
PE
Peupo012CTR
Under

Invested

$100

Value

—

PnL

-$175.51

Record

34%

433-841 (1274)

0X
0xbbf379252411511ADAb081F016Dc991aA6bbAA3A-1768154730738CTR<$100
Under

Invested

$100

Value

—

PnL

-$124.31

Record

46%

585-681 (1266)

Junior112CTR<$100
Under

Invested

$28.3

Value

—

PnL

-$47.06

Record

43%

647-861 (1508)

FO
fooooolCTR<$100
Under

Invested

$24.73

Value

—

PnL

-$32.22

Record

50%

10769-10595 (21364)

SE
sentrioCTR<$100
Under

Invested

$7.29

Value

—

PnL

-$9.1

Record

50%

24905-24591 (49496)

RN1CTR<$100
Under

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

54%

56286-48446 (104732)

GO
GoalLineGhostCTR<$100
Under

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

50%

24840-24547 (49387)

SP
spyGoodLuck77<$100
Over

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

63%

1755-1042 (2797)

UN
uninformedflowwCTR<$100
Under

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

57%

70731-53842 (124573)

WarewaPain<$100
Over

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

43%

464-608 (1072)

US
User7429<$100
Over

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

55%

8228-6643 (14871)

MI
MinevaJCTR<$100
Under

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

58%

1008-731 (1739)

MR
MrBently<$100
Over

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

53%

537-480 (1017)

RO
Roadto1mlesgooo<$100
Over

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

79%

255-69 (324)

0F
0F62<$100
Over

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

53%

2067-1862 (3929)

BU
BunCaCham<$100
Over

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

98%

2570-65 (2635)

RE
retarb<$100
Over

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

48%

4204-4475 (8679)

LE
LeLynxMalynx<$100
Over

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

58%

28383-20951 (49334)

0X
0x8Cb25E16F2F0893C1bd4d7077325BD4a3b4AdCf5-1774682577191CTR<$100
Under

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

47%

4522-5009 (9531)

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Market Info

Condition ID
0x42c1277b...788a0b
Slug
lal-bet-rea-2026-09-04-total-0pt5

Traders in this Market

PE

Peupo012

CTR

Under — $0

-$175.51
0X

0xbbf379252411511ADAb081F016Dc991aA6bbAA3A-1768154730738

CTR

Under — $0

-$124.31

Junior112

CTR

Under — $0

-$47.06
FO

foooool

CTR

Under — $0

-$32.22
SE

sentrio

CTR

Under — $0

-$9.1

RN1

CTR

Under — $0

+$0
GO

GoalLineGhost

CTR

Under — $0

+$0
SP

spyGoodLuck77

Over — $0

+$0
UN

uninformedfloww

CTR

Under — $0

+$0

WarewaPain

Over — $0

+$0
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