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HRTrading<$100NoYesYesYes
RN1<$100No
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Yes — but No won instead.
Real Betis Balompié vs. Málaga CF: Draw at halftime?
Resolved No. 60% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
5
Yes 67%
Total Value
$50
Combined PnL
-$222.03
Smart Money Signal
Yes
3 of 5 top traders (60%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%4 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
No2 traders
Total Value$50
Total Shares50
Combined PnL-$3.7
Yes3 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares571
Combined PnL-$218.33
No — 40%Yes — 60%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HRTrading<$100 | Noavg 95¢ | $53.7 | $50 | -$3.7 | 53% 4792-4312 (9104) |
KE keeptheblueflagflyinghighCTR<$100 | Yesavg 25¢ | $76.45 | — | -$76.45 | 48% 943-1015 (1958) |
MI MinevaJCTR | Yesavg 53.5¢ | $265.15 | — | -$141.88 | 58% 1027-753 (1780) |
UP UpTheBluesCTR<$100 | Yesavg 37.5¢ | — | — | +$0 | 59% 45969-32302 (78271) |
RN1<$100 | Noavg 48¢ | — | — | +$0 | 54% 56681-48879 (105560) |
HRTrading<$100Invested
$53.7
Value
$50
PnL
-$3.7
Record
53%
4792-4312 (9104)
KE
keeptheblueflagflyinghighCTR<$100Invested
$76.45
Value
—
PnL
-$76.45
Record
48%
943-1015 (1958)
MI
MinevaJCTRInvested
$265.15
Value
—
PnL
-$141.88
Record
58%
1027-753 (1780)
UP
UpTheBluesCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
59%
45969-32302 (78271)
RN1<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
54%
56681-48879 (105560)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x4663df8d...e93cb7
Slug
lal-bet-mala-2026-10-31-halftime-result-draw