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Consensus Lost βœ—

Smart money consensus was Traktor β€” but CSKA Moscow won instead.

KHL: Traktor vs. CSKA Moscow

Resolved CSKA Moscow. 60% of the top Polymarket traders held Traktor. The smart money was wrong.

RESOLVED

πŸ’€

Lost

Consensus Traders

5

Traktor 67%

1 arb excluded

Total Value

$102.63

Combined PnL

-$8.91

Smart Money Signal

Traktor

3 of 5 top traders (60%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed3 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Traktor0%
CSKA Moscow100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

CSKA Moscow2 traders
Total Value$77
Total Shares77
Combined PnL+$0.69
Traktor3 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares30
Combined PnL-$9.6
CSKA Moscow β€” 40%Traktor β€” 60%

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Market Info

Condition ID
0xfa31470f...d0cef7
Slug
khl-tra-csk-2026-11-01
Trade on Polymarket