KHL: SKA St. Petersburg vs. Torpedo

2 of 4 top Polymarket traders hold SKA St. Petersburg (50%) · SKA St. Petersburg at 52¢ · $547 held · ended Oct 27

SKA St. Petersburg52¢Torpedo48¢Ended Tue, Oct 27, 2026View on Polymarket

SIGNAL

⚖️

Neutral

SKA St. Petersburg

Consensus Traders

SKA St. Petersburg 50%

Total Value

$547.49

Combined PnL

$6.43

Smart Money Entry

51.3¢ → 52¢

+1% since entry · 2 traders

Research grade

NeutralSKA St. Petersburg at 52%

No measured edge, which here means a loss: the plain consensus (5+ holders, 60 %+, held to resolution) lost −3.0 % a trade after costs out of sample in the full-year test (n 86,296, 95 % CI −3.6 to −2.4 %).

Consensus under 60 %Every backtest started at 60 %+ of the holders; below that nothing was measured.
Fewer than 5 holdersEvery backtest needed 5+ holders; with fewer nothing was measured.
Side priced 50–60¢Full year, out of sample: 0.50–0.70 lost −2.9 % a trade (n 23,546, 95 % CI −3.9 to −1.9).

The rules come from our Oct 22 2026 backtest (one entry per market, held to resolution, after a 1¢ half-spread and Polymarket's taker fees). Our full-year test without hindsight (Oct 26 2026) found none of them profitable out of sample, and the plain consensus lost −3.0 % a trade. The grade describes the market; it is not a forecast, not an edge and not advice.

Smart Money Signal

SKA St. Petersburg

2 of 4 top traders (50%)2 hold an outcome priced under 50%2 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

SKA St. Petersburg52%

Torpedo48%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

SKA St. Petersburg2 traders

Total Value$526.03

Total Shares1,012

Combined PnL+$5.58

Torpedo2 traders

Total Value$21.46

Total Shares45

Combined PnL+$0.85

SKA St. Petersburg — 50%Torpedo — 50%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
VeryLucky888	SKA St. Petersburgavg 51.5¢	$442.81	$373.15	+$2.64	58% 40420-29201 (69621)
SL slimjoe	SKA St. Petersburgavg 51¢	$149.94	$152.88	+$2.94	51% 6431-6105 (12536)
FO Forecastication2CTR<$100	Torpedoavg 46¢	$19.53	$20.38	+$0.85	50% 6745-6755 (13500)
HRTradingCTR<$100	Torpedoavg 48¢	$1.08	$1.08	+$0	54% 2609-2230 (4839)

VeryLucky888

SKA St. Petersburg

Invested

$442.81

Value

$373.15

PnL

+$2.64

Record

58%

40420-29201 (69621)

slimjoe

SKA St. Petersburg

Invested

$149.94

Value

$152.88

PnL

+$2.94

Record

51%

6431-6105 (12536)

Forecastication2CTR<$100

Torpedo

Invested

$19.53

Value

$20.38

PnL

+$0.85

Record

50%

6745-6755 (13500)

HRTradingCTR<$100

Torpedo

Invested

$1.08

Value

$1.08

PnL

+$0

Record

54%

2609-2230 (4839)

Research grade

NeutralSKA St. Petersburg at 52%

Consensus under 60 %Every backtest started at 60 %+ of the holders; below that nothing was measured.
Fewer than 5 holdersEvery backtest needed 5+ holders; with fewer nothing was measured.
Side priced 50–60¢Full year, out of sample: 0.50–0.70 lost −2.9 % a trade (n 23,546, 95 % CI −3.9 to −1.9).

Smart Money Signal

SKA St. Petersburg

2 of 4 top traders (50%)2 hold an outcome priced under 50%2 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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EV Calculator

Your estimated chance that SKA St. Petersburg wins (%)

Consensus % is how many tracked traders hold a side, not a win probability.

Stake (USDC)

Break-even chance54.2%

52.0¢ price + 1.0¢ spread + 1.2¢ fee (Sports 5%). Win more often than this and the bet pays.

Expected Value—

Expected ROIenter your estimate

Max Profit

+$84.35

Max Loss

-$100.00

184.3

A market order pays the taker fee and crosses the spread (assumed 1.0¢); a limit order pays no fee but may not fill. The fee category is a guess from the title.