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balthazar<$100NoNoNoNoNo
2B9SCTR<$100Yes
Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was No — and it was correct. Winning outcome: No
Will Khamenei post 20-24 posts from October 20 to October 27, 2026?
Resolved No. 83% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
6
No 83%
Total Value
$114.26
Combined PnL
-$8.78
Smart Money Signal
No
5 of 6 top traders (83%)1 holds an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
No5 traders
Total Value$114.26
Total Shares114
Combined PnL-$8.53
Yes1 trader
Total Value$0
Total Shares84
Combined PnL-$0.25
No — 83%Yes — 17%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
balthazar<$100 | Noavg 99.7¢ | $43.86 | $43.99 | -$3.26 | 61% 20566-13016 (33582) |
ZE zerone777<$100 | Noavg 99.8¢ | $19.96 | $20 | -$1.5 | 41% 379-555 (934) |
LI Likaseent<$100 | Noavg 99.8¢ | $19.96 | $20 | -$1.5 | 29% 184-455 (639) |
AK akroll<$100 | Noavg 99.8¢ | $18.22 | $18.26 | -$1.37 | 32% 306-649 (955) |
KL klli27<$100 | Noavg 99.8¢ | $11.99 | $12.01 | -$0.9 | 31% 280-619 (899) |
2B9SCTR<$100 | Yesavg 0.3¢ | $0.25 | — | -$0.25 | 18% 3777-16967 (20744) |
balthazar<$100Invested
$43.86
Value
$43.99
PnL
-$3.26
Record
61%
20566-13016 (33582)
ZE
zerone777<$100Invested
$19.96
Value
$20
PnL
-$1.5
Record
41%
379-555 (934)
LI
Likaseent<$100Invested
$19.96
Value
$20
PnL
-$1.5
Record
29%
184-455 (639)
AK
akroll<$100Invested
$18.22
Value
$18.26
PnL
-$1.37
Record
32%
306-649 (955)
KL
klli27<$100Invested
$11.99
Value
$12.01
PnL
-$0.9
Record
31%
280-619 (899)
2B9SCTR<$100Invested
$0.25
Value
—
PnL
-$0.25
Record
18%
3777-16967 (20744)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x638ebc44...87b6ae
Slug
khamenei-of-tweets-october-20-october-27-2026-20-24