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YesNoNoYesYes
VeryLucky888CTR<$100No
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was No — but Yes won instead.
Will Tegevajaro Miyazaki win on 2026-10-31?
Resolved Yes. 50% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
6
No 67%
Total Value
$15.35
Combined PnL
-$7.97
Smart Money Signal
No
3 of 6 top traders (50%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes100%
No0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Yes3 traders
Total Value$15.35
Total Shares15
Combined PnL+$0.02
No3 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares30
Combined PnL-$7.98
Yes — 50%No — 50%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
LO looppau<$100 | Yesavg 99.9¢ | $15.33 | $15.35 | +$0.02 | 99% 10899-65 (10964) |
TO topdogbigboiCTR<$100 | Noavg 18.3¢ | $3.66 | — | -$3.66 | 49% 7902-8215 (16117) |
LE LeLynxMalynxCTR<$100 | Noavg 50¢ | $4.75 | — | -$4.32 | 58% 28670-21162 (49832) |
UP UpTheBlues<$100 | Yesavg 80.5¢ | — | — | +$0 | 59% 45758-32100 (77858) |
SN SnakeBall<$100 | Yesavg 98.9¢ | — | — | +$0 | 50% 33354-32918 (66272) |
VeryLucky888CTR<$100 | Noavg 50¢ | — | — | +$0 | 58% 41850-30387 (72237) |
LO
looppau<$100Invested
$15.33
Value
$15.35
PnL
+$0.02
Record
99%
10899-65 (10964)
TO
topdogbigboiCTR<$100Invested
$3.66
Value
—
PnL
-$3.66
Record
49%
7902-8215 (16117)
LE
LeLynxMalynxCTR<$100Invested
$4.75
Value
—
PnL
-$4.32
Record
58%
28670-21162 (49832)
UP
UpTheBlues<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
59%
45758-32100 (77858)
SN
SnakeBall<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
50%
33354-32918 (66272)
VeryLucky888CTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
58%
41850-30387 (72237)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x12d160a8...b587c8
Slug
ja2-teg-oit-2026-10-31-teg