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No
HRTrading<$100No
poshposhCTR<$100YesYesNo
RN1CTR<$100Yes
Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was No — and it was correct. Winning outcome: No
Will FC Imabari win on 2026-10-31?
Resolved No. 50% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
6
No 50%
Total Value
$35.5
Combined PnL
-$18.14
Smart Money Signal
No
3 of 6 top traders (50%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
No3 traders
Total Value$35.5
Total Shares36
Combined PnL+$15.83
Yes3 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares107
Combined PnL-$33.97
No — 50%Yes — 50%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
TO topdogbigboi<$100 | Noavg 18.5¢ | $6.47 | $26 | +$19.53 | 49% 7902-8215 (16117) |
HRTrading<$100 | Noavg 76.8¢ | $13.2 | $9.5 | -$3.7 | 53% 4546-4095 (8641) |
poshposhCTR<$100 | Yesavg 14¢ | $0.97 | — | -$0.97 | 59% 10128-7124 (17252) |
KE keeptheblueflagflyinghighCTR<$100 | Yesavg 33¢ | $33 | — | -$33 | 48% 914-983 (1897) |
UP UpTheBlues<$100 | Noavg 82.9¢ | — | — | +$0 | 59% 45758-32100 (77858) |
RN1CTR<$100 | Yesavg 48.8¢ | — | — | +$0 | 54% 56568-48734 (105302) |
TO
topdogbigboi<$100Invested
$6.47
Value
$26
PnL
+$19.53
Record
49%
7902-8215 (16117)
HRTrading<$100Invested
$13.2
Value
$9.5
PnL
-$3.7
Record
53%
4546-4095 (8641)
poshposhCTR<$100Invested
$0.97
Value
—
PnL
-$0.97
Record
59%
10128-7124 (17252)
KE
keeptheblueflagflyinghighCTR<$100Invested
$33
Value
—
PnL
-$33
Record
48%
914-983 (1897)
UP
UpTheBlues<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
59%
45758-32100 (77858)
RN1CTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
54%
56568-48734 (105302)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x4d139267...071142
Slug
ja2-imb-ven-2026-10-31-imb