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RN1ARB<$100UnderUnderUnderUnderUnderUnder
HRTradingCTR<$100Under
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Under — but Over won instead.
Ascoli Calcio 1898 FC vs. UC Sampdoria: O/U 1.5
Resolved Over. 100% of the top Polymarket traders held Under. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
6
Under 100%
1 arb excluded
Total Value
$121.95
Combined PnL
-$125.2
Smart Money Signal
Under
6 of 6 top traders (100%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed6 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
Loading chart data…
Outcome Probabilities
Over100%
Under0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Under6 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares472
Combined PnL-$125.2
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
RN1ARB<$100 | Underavg 38.9¢ | $415.88 | $121.95 | -$314.03 | 54% 55411-47463 (102874) |
| └ Over leg | Overavg 60¢ | $73.17 | $121.95 | +$107.26 | |
| └ Under leg | Underavg 38.9¢ | $401.18 | — | -$421.28 | |
FO fooooolCTR | Underavg 34.7¢ | $120.84 | — | -$120.84 | 50% 10454-10317 (20771) |
0X 0x8Cb25E16F2F0893C1bd4d7077325BD4a3b4AdCf5-1774682577191CTR<$100 | Underavg 1.6¢ | $1.96 | — | -$4.36 | 48% 4423-4879 (9302) |
UP UpTheBluesCTR<$100 | Underavg 25¢ | — | — | +$0 | 59% 44348-30735 (75083) |
GO GoalLineGhostCTR<$100 | Underavg 35.3¢ | — | — | +$0 | 50% 24171-23783 (47954) |
LU LuckyLooCTR<$100 | Underavg 30¢ | — | — | +$0 | 50% 11998-12149 (24147) |
HRTradingCTR<$100 | Underavg 24¢ | — | — | +$0 | 54% 2678-2303 (4981) |
RN1ARB<$100Invested
$415.88
Value
$121.95
PnL
-$314.03
Record
54%
55411-47463 (102874)
Both legs:
Over$73.1760¢+$107.26
Under$401.1838.9¢-$421.28
FO
fooooolCTRInvested
$120.84
Value
—
PnL
-$120.84
Record
50%
10454-10317 (20771)
0X
0x8Cb25E16F2F0893C1bd4d7077325BD4a3b4AdCf5-1774682577191CTR<$100Invested
$1.96
Value
—
PnL
-$4.36
Record
48%
4423-4879 (9302)
UP
UpTheBluesCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
59%
44348-30735 (75083)
GO
GoalLineGhostCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
50%
24171-23783 (47954)
LU
LuckyLooCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
50%
11998-12149 (24147)
HRTradingCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
54%
2678-2303 (4981)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xa77c6fdb...bb35f7
Slug
itsb-asc-sam-2026-10-27-total-1pt5