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Ziyu ZhouZiyu ZhouZiyu ZhouZiyu Zhou
dips.CTR<$100Ziyu ZhouAlina Tikhonova Trade on Polymarket
Consensus Lost β
Smart money consensus was Ziyu Zhou β but Alina Tikhonova won instead.

W15 Maanshan: Ziyu Zhou vs Alina Tikhonova
Resolved Alina Tikhonova. 83% of the top Polymarket traders held Ziyu Zhou. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
π
Lost
Consensus Traders
6
Ziyu Zhou 100%
Total Value
$0.05
Combined PnL
-$99.61
Smart Money Signal
Ziyu Zhou
5 of 6 top traders (83%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
Loading chart dataβ¦
Outcome Probabilities
Ziyu Zhou0%
Alina Tikhonova100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Ziyu Zhou5 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares2,544
Combined PnL-$99.61
Alina Tikhonova1 trader
Total Value$0.05
Total Shares0
Combined PnL+$0
Ziyu Zhou β 83%Alina Tikhonova β 17%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
CA CandleHammerDrumsCTR<$100 | Ziyu Zhouavg 3.7Β’ | $66.18 | β | -$66.18 | 47% 314-353 (667) |
38 38791873984189CTR<$100 | Ziyu Zhouavg 4.1Β’ | $32.27 | β | -$17.27 | 48% 1999-2208 (4207) |
SM smithagentCTR<$100 | Ziyu Zhouavg 4.4Β’ | $9.07 | β | -$9.07 | 43% 321-434 (755) |
KE keeptheblueflagflyinghighCTR<$100 | Ziyu Zhouavg 4.4Β’ | $6.1 | β | -$6.1 | 51% 2022-1934 (3956) |
![]() dips.CTR<$100 | Ziyu Zhouavg 1.1Β’ | $0.99 | β | -$0.99 | 45% 506-615 (1121) |
NO NotJump | Alina Tikhonovaavg 50Β’ | $1.1K | $0.05 | +$0 | 54% 410-348 (758) |
CA
CandleHammerDrumsCTR<$100Invested
$66.18
Value
β
PnL
-$66.18
Record
47%
314-353 (667)
38
38791873984189CTR<$100Invested
$32.27
Value
β
PnL
-$17.27
Record
48%
1999-2208 (4207)
SM
smithagentCTR<$100Invested
$9.07
Value
β
PnL
-$9.07
Record
43%
321-434 (755)
KE
keeptheblueflagflyinghighCTR<$100Invested
$6.1
Value
β
PnL
-$6.1
Record
51%
2022-1934 (3956)
dips.CTR<$100Invested
$0.99
Value
β
PnL
-$0.99
Record
45%
506-615 (1121)
NO
NotJumpInvested
$1,050
Value
$0.05
PnL
+$0
Record
54%
410-348 (758)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x37cda7b9...d24fe3
Slug
itf-zhou6-tikhon2-2026-11-12