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Consensus Lost βœ—

Smart money consensus was Ziyu Zhou β€” but Alina Tikhonova won instead.

W15 Maanshan: Ziyu Zhou vs Alina Tikhonova

Resolved Alina Tikhonova. 83% of the top Polymarket traders held Ziyu Zhou. The smart money was wrong.

RESOLVED

πŸ’€

Lost

Consensus Traders

6

Ziyu Zhou 100%

Total Value

$0.05

Combined PnL

-$99.61

Smart Money Signal

Ziyu Zhou

5 of 6 top traders (83%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Ziyu Zhou0%
Alina Tikhonova100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Ziyu Zhou5 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares2,544
Combined PnL-$99.61
Alina Tikhonova1 trader
Total Value$0.05
Total Shares0
Combined PnL+$0
Ziyu Zhou β€” 83%Alina Tikhonova β€” 17%

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Market Info

Condition ID
0x37cda7b9...d24fe3
Slug
itf-zhou6-tikhon2-2026-11-12
Trade on Polymarket