Consensus Lost ✗

Smart money consensus was Belle Thompson — but Chengyiyi Yuan won instead.

W75 Brisbane: Chengyiyi Yuan vs Belle Thompson

Resolved Chengyiyi Yuan. 80% of the top Polymarket traders held Belle Thompson. The smart money was wrong.

RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

Belle Thompson 80%

Total Value

$5.88

Combined PnL

-$473.84

Belle Thompson

4 of 5 top traders (80%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%2 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Chengyiyi Yuan100%

Belle Thompson0%

Belle Thompson4 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares1,118

Combined PnL-$475.72

Chengyiyi Yuan1 trader

Total Value$5.88

Total Shares6

Combined PnL+$1.88

Belle Thompson — 80%Chengyiyi Yuan — 20%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
38 38791873984189CTR	Belle Thompsonavg 30.9¢	$239.62	—	-$239.62	48% 71751-77431 (149182)
dips.CTR	Belle Thompsonavg 38.2¢	$89.7	—	-$89.7	48% 17581-19269 (36850)
0X 0xa85B3359D5e0BDCB925F6A2B94ddfBF6d403eb0CTR<$100	Belle Thompsonavg 37¢	$16.65	—	-$26.98	52% 6170-5693 (11863)
0X 0xdbdd45150249e229eB4cA8aa48A30Dca21Faa5de-1757094771846<$100	Chengyiyi Yuanavg 68¢	$5.88	$5.88	+$1.88	56% 39546-31200 (70746)
KE keeptheblueflagflyinghighCTR	Belle Thompsonavg 38.5¢	$119.42	—	-$119.42	46% 2193-2526 (4719)