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Consensus Lost ✗

Smart money consensus was Amy Stevens — but Yidi Yang won instead.

W75 Sydney: Yidi Yang vs Amy Stevens

Resolved Yidi Yang. 67% of the top Polymarket traders held Amy Stevens. The smart money was wrong.

View on Polymarket
RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

9

Amy Stevens 75%

Total Value

$191.79

Combined PnL

-$285.14

Smart Money Signal

Amy Stevens

6 of 9 top traders (67%)6 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Yidi Yang100%
Amy Stevens0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Yidi Yang3 traders
Total Value$191.79
Total Shares192
Combined PnL+$45.56
Amy Stevens6 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares1,195
Combined PnL-$330.69
Yidi Yang — 33%Amy Stevens — 67%
0X
0xdbdd45150249e229eB4cA8aa48A30Dca21Faa5de-1757094771846
Yidi Yang

Invested

$101.66

Value

$144.74

PnL

+$43.08

Record

41%

692-1008 (1700)

0X
0xB595d09Ce5bBc4d39E3b3D04E80C402d2C8D5922-1769777706105<$100
Yidi Yang

Invested

$44.52

Value

$47

PnL

+$2.48

Record

99%

617-9 (626)

38
38791873984189CTR
Amy Stevens

Invested

$266.19

Value

—

PnL

-$95.98

Record

48%

3854-4218 (8072)

CA
CandleHammerDrumsCTR
Amy Stevens

Invested

$119.86

Value

—

PnL

-$119.86

Record

49%

605-637 (1242)

KE
keeptheblueflagflyinghighCTR<$100
Amy Stevens

Invested

$88.52

Value

—

PnL

-$88.52

Record

50%

2799-2804 (5603)

CI
cigarettesCTR<$100
Amy Stevens

Invested

$5.6

Value

—

PnL

-$5.6

Record

53%

7408-6544 (13952)

TO
topdogbigboiCTR<$100
Amy Stevens

Invested

$19.26

Value

—

PnL

-$19.26

Record

39%

1502-2375 (3877)

LR
lryyyCTR<$100
Amy Stevens

Invested

$1.48

Value

—

PnL

-$1.48

Record

45%

942-1132 (2074)

NO
NotJump
Yidi Yang

Invested

$1,050

Value

$0.05

PnL

-$0

Record

50%

1068-1058 (2126)

Chat

Market Info

Condition ID
0x4b42f45d...5a94d6
Slug
itf-yang6-steven1-2026-11-15

Traders in this Market

0X

0xdbdd45150249e229eB4cA8aa48A30Dca21Faa5de-1757094771846

Yidi Yang — $144.74

+$43.08
0X

0xB595d09Ce5bBc4d39E3b3D04E80C402d2C8D5922-1769777706105

Yidi Yang — $47

+$2.48
38

38791873984189

CTR

Amy Stevens — $0

-$95.98
CA

CandleHammerDrums

CTR

Amy Stevens — $0

-$119.86
KE

keeptheblueflagflyinghigh

CTR

Amy Stevens — $0

-$88.52
CI

cigarettes

CTR

Amy Stevens — $0

-$5.6
TO

topdogbigboi

CTR

Amy Stevens — $0

-$19.26
LR

lryyy

CTR

Amy Stevens — $0

-$1.48
NO

NotJump

Yidi Yang — $0.05

-$0
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