Back to Markets
LUCCA LIUDavide TortoraLUCCA LIUDavide Tortora
alpheclabs2CTR<$100Davide TortoraDavide Tortora
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Davide Tortora — but LUCCA LIU won instead.
M15 Naples, FL: Davide Tortora vs LUCCA LIU
Resolved LUCCA LIU. 67% of the top Polymarket traders held Davide Tortora. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
6
Davide Tortora 67%
Total Value
$171.05
Combined PnL
-$549.27
Smart Money Signal
Davide Tortora
4 of 6 top traders (67%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%4 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
Loading chart data…
Outcome Probabilities
Davide Tortora0%
LUCCA LIU100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
LUCCA LIU2 traders
Total Value$128.13
Total Shares128
Combined PnL+$80.13
Davide Tortora4 traders
Total Value$42.93
Total Shares1,207
Combined PnL-$629.4
LUCCA LIU — 33%Davide Tortora — 67%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
MA MadridTime | LUCCA LIUavg 37.3¢ | $38 | $101.82 | +$63.82 | 31% 410-897 (1307) |
38 38791873984189CTR | Davide Tortoraavg 60.9¢ | $536.89 | $42.93 | -$493.96 | 48% 1427-1570 (2997) |
GL glennyorkshire<$100 | LUCCA LIUavg 38¢ | $10 | $26.31 | +$16.31 | 49% 57-60 (117) |
KE keeptheblueflagflyinghighCTR<$100 | Davide Tortoraavg 38¢ | $52.95 | — | -$52.95 | 53% 1851-1666 (3517) |
alpheclabs2CTR<$100 | Davide Tortoraavg 37¢ | $82.44 | — | -$82.44 | 44% 123-159 (282) |
US User7429CTR<$100 | Davide Tortoraavg 1¢ | $0.05 | — | -$0.05 | 25% 117-356 (473) |
MA
MadridTimeInvested
$38
Value
$101.82
PnL
+$63.82
Record
31%
410-897 (1307)
38
38791873984189CTRInvested
$536.89
Value
$42.93
PnL
-$493.96
Record
48%
1427-1570 (2997)
GL
glennyorkshire<$100Invested
$10
Value
$26.31
PnL
+$16.31
Record
49%
57-60 (117)
KE
keeptheblueflagflyinghighCTR<$100Invested
$52.95
Value
—
PnL
-$52.95
Record
53%
1851-1666 (3517)
alpheclabs2CTR<$100Invested
$82.44
Value
—
PnL
-$82.44
Record
44%
123-159 (282)
US
User7429CTR<$100Invested
$0.05
Value
—
PnL
-$0.05
Record
25%
117-356 (473)
Chat
Market Info
Condition ID
0x23a0bc2e...fb4dd8
Slug
itf-tortor1-liu2-2026-11-11