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Flynn ThomasJosip SimundzaJosip SimundzaFlynn Thomas
dips.CTR<$100Flynn ThomasFlynn ThomasFlynn Thomas
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Flynn Thomas — but Josip Simundza won instead.
M15 Heraklion: Flynn Thomas vs Josip Simundza
Resolved Josip Simundza. 71% of the top Polymarket traders held Flynn Thomas. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
7
Flynn Thomas 60%
Total Value
$94.59
Combined PnL
$41.28
Smart Money Signal
Flynn Thomas
5 of 7 top traders (71%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Flynn Thomas0%
Josip Simundza100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Flynn Thomas5 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares1,363
Combined PnL-$7.54
Josip Simundza2 traders
Total Value$94.59
Total Shares95
Combined PnL+$48.82
Flynn Thomas — 71%Josip Simundza — 29%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
CI cigarettesCTR<$100 | Flynn Thomasavg 0.5¢ | $6.27 | — | -$6.27 | 53% 7043-6178 (13221) |
PA Pan9X<$100 | Josip Simundzaavg 48.5¢ | $24.25 | $50 | +$25.75 | 50% 1583-1605 (3188) |
TO topdogbigboi<$100 | Josip Simundzaavg 48¢ | $21.52 | $44.59 | +$23.07 | 37% 1016-1695 (2711) |
CA CandleHammerDrumsCTR<$100 | Flynn Thomasavg 6¢ | $0.92 | — | -$0.92 | 48% 509-543 (1052) |
dips.CTR<$100 | Flynn Thomasavg 6¢ | $0.3 | — | -$0.3 | 47% 963-1084 (2047) |
NO NotJumpCTR | Flynn Thomasavg 50¢ | $1.1K | — | -$0.05 | 52% 810-741 (1551) |
OV overtimemarkets.xyz-singlesCTR<$100 | Flynn Thomasavg 50¢ | $31 | — | +$0 | 69% 131-59 (190) |
CI
cigarettesCTR<$100Invested
$6.27
Value
—
PnL
-$6.27
Record
53%
7043-6178 (13221)
PA
Pan9X<$100Invested
$24.25
Value
$50
PnL
+$25.75
Record
50%
1583-1605 (3188)
TO
topdogbigboi<$100Invested
$21.52
Value
$44.59
PnL
+$23.07
Record
37%
1016-1695 (2711)
CA
CandleHammerDrumsCTR<$100Invested
$0.92
Value
—
PnL
-$0.92
Record
48%
509-543 (1052)
dips.CTR<$100Invested
$0.3
Value
—
PnL
-$0.3
Record
47%
963-1084 (2047)
NO
NotJumpCTRInvested
$1,050
Value
—
PnL
-$0.05
Record
52%
810-741 (1551)
OV
overtimemarkets.xyz-singlesCTR<$100Invested
$31
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
69%
131-59 (190)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xa16c9b84...e151f1
Slug
itf-thomas1-simund1-2026-11-14