Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Aishi Das — but Maria Taranova won instead.
W15 Lincoln, NE: Maria Taranova vs Aishi Das
Resolved Maria Taranova. 71% of the top Polymarket traders held Aishi Das. The smart money was wrong.
💀
Lost
7
Aishi Das 71%
$161.42
$69.53
Smart Money Signal
5 of 7 top traders (71%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
LU LuckyLoo | Maria Taranovaavg 26¢ | $34.75 | $133.65 | +$98.9 | 35% 235-434 (669) |
GL glennyorkshire<$100 | Maria Taranovaavg 36¢ | $10 | $27.77 | +$17.77 | 43% 108-141 (249) |
KE keeptheblueflagflyinghighCTR<$100 | Aishi Dasavg 34¢ | $8.5 | — | -$8.5 | 51% 2100-2043 (4143) |
38 38791873984189CTR<$100 | Aishi Dasavg 26.6¢ | $7.44 | — | -$7.44 | 48% 2320-2524 (4844) |
0X 0x6b25c5c4d1e681d2203297803793ad8c732b7a69CTR<$100 | Aishi Dasavg 71¢ | $9.41 | — | -$9.41 | 54% 96-83 (179) |
PA Pan9XCTR<$100 | Aishi Dasavg 64¢ | $4.17 | — | -$4.17 | 49% 1097-1151 (2248) |
 poshposhCTR<$100 | Aishi Dasavg 32.2¢ | $17.62 | — | -$17.62 | 48% 621-673 (1294) |
Invested
$34.75
Value
$133.65
PnL
+$98.9
Record
35%
235-434 (669)
Invested
$10
Value
$27.77
PnL
+$17.77
Record
43%
108-141 (249)
Invested
$8.5
Value
—
PnL
-$8.5
Record
51%
2100-2043 (4143)
Invested
$7.44
Value
—
PnL
-$7.44
Record
48%
2320-2524 (4844)
Invested
$9.41
Value
—
PnL
-$9.41
Record
54%
96-83 (179)
Invested
$4.17
Value
—
PnL
-$4.17
Record
49%
1097-1151 (2248)
poshposhCTR<$100Invested
$17.62
Value
—
PnL
-$17.62
Record
48%
621-673 (1294)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
LuckyLoo
Maria Taranova — $133.65
glennyorkshire
Maria Taranova — $27.77
keeptheblueflagflyinghigh
CTRAishi Das — $0
38791873984189
CTRAishi Das — $0
0x6b25c5c4d1e681d2203297803793ad8c732b7a69
CTRAishi Das — $0
Pan9X
CTRAishi Das — $0
poshposh
CTRAishi Das — $0