Back to Markets
Simona OgescuSarina SchnyderSimona Ogescu
dips.CTR<$100Simona OgescuSimona Ogescu
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Simona Ogescu — but Sarina Schnyder won instead.
W50 Heraklion: Sarina Schnyder vs Simona Ogescu
Resolved Sarina Schnyder. 80% of the top Polymarket traders held Simona Ogescu. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
5
Simona Ogescu 75%
Total Value
$41.1
Combined PnL
-$289.31
Smart Money Signal
Simona Ogescu
4 of 5 top traders (80%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%3 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
Loading chart data…
Outcome Probabilities
Sarina Schnyder100%
Simona Ogescu0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Simona Ogescu4 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares492
Combined PnL-$289.02
Sarina Schnyder1 trader
Total Value$41.1
Total Shares41
Combined PnL-$0.29
Simona Ogescu — 80%Sarina Schnyder — 20%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
38 38791873984189CTR | Simona Ogescuavg 63.1¢ | $257.83 | — | -$240.63 | 48% 3953-4307 (8260) |
SM smithagent<$100 | Sarina Schnyderavg 90¢ | $52.51 | $41.1 | -$0.29 | 46% 877-1027 (1904) |
CA CandleHammerDrumsCTR<$100 | Simona Ogescuavg 37.4¢ | $40.5 | — | -$40.5 | 48% 630-669 (1299) |
dips.CTR<$100 | Simona Ogescuavg 56¢ | $7.84 | — | -$7.84 | 48% 1300-1386 (2686) |
NO NotJumpCTR | Simona Ogescuavg 50¢ | $1.1K | — | -$0.05 | 50% 1122-1124 (2246) |
38
38791873984189CTRInvested
$257.83
Value
—
PnL
-$240.63
Record
48%
3953-4307 (8260)
SM
smithagent<$100Invested
$52.51
Value
$41.1
PnL
-$0.29
Record
46%
877-1027 (1904)
CA
CandleHammerDrumsCTR<$100Invested
$40.5
Value
—
PnL
-$40.5
Record
48%
630-669 (1299)
dips.CTR<$100Invested
$7.84
Value
—
PnL
-$7.84
Record
48%
1300-1386 (2686)
NO
NotJumpCTRInvested
$1,050
Value
—
PnL
-$0.05
Record
50%
1122-1124 (2246)
Chat
Market Info
Condition ID
0x1c6ff1b4...7e2a5f
Slug
itf-schnyd1-ogescu1-2026-11-15