Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Hikaru Sato — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Hikaru Sato
W75 Sydney: Hikaru Sato vs Ava Beck
Resolved Hikaru Sato. 82% of the top Polymarket traders held Hikaru Sato. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
11
Hikaru Sato 82%
1 arb excluded
$4.3K
$801.58
Smart Money Signal
9 of 11 top traders (82%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed2 hold an outcome priced under 50%4 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SL SlickRick123 | Hikaru Satoavg 77.2¢ | $1.2K | $1.6K | +$367.62 | 37% 459-785 (1244) |
0X 0xdbdd45150249e229eB4cA8aa48A30Dca21Faa5de-1757094771846 | Hikaru Satoavg 71.8¢ | $456.95 | $636.38 | +$179.43 | 40% 652-976 (1628) |
SM smithagent | Hikaru Satoavg 95¢ | $570 | $600 | +$30 | 46% 809-954 (1763) |
CI cigarettes | Hikaru Satoavg 82¢ | $420.46 | $458.16 | +$79.54 | 53% 7331-6407 (13738) |
TO topdogbigboiARB<$100 | Ava Beckavg 28.9¢ | $358.93 | $205 | -$153.93 | 38% 1351-2180 (3531) |
| └ Hikaru Sato leg | Hikaru Satoavg 37.9¢ | $77.65 | $205 | +$127.35 | |
| └ Ava Beck leg | Ava Beckavg 28.9¢ | $281.28 | — | -$281.28 | |
38 38791873984189 | Hikaru Satoavg 82.5¢ | $729.2 | $352 | +$81.21 | 47% 3580-3963 (7543) |
LR lryyy | Hikaru Satoavg 87¢ | $153.12 | $176 | +$22.88 | 46% 884-1056 (1940) |
0X 0xa85B3359D5e0BDCB925F6A2B94ddfBF6d403eb0 | Hikaru Satoavg 64.1¢ | $98.84 | $154.23 | +$55.39 | 45% 433-525 (958) |
RO Rock.San<$100 | Hikaru Satoavg 99.1¢ | $97.84 | $98.73 | +$0.89 | 94% 155-10 (165) |
0X 0xB595d09Ce5bBc4d39E3b3D04E80C402d2C8D5922-1769777706105<$100 | Hikaru Satoavg 99¢ | $34.65 | $35 | +$0.35 | 98% 587-9 (596) |
KE keeptheblueflagflyinghighCTR<$100 | Ava Beckavg 29¢ | $10.45 | — | -$10.45 | 50% 2696-2676 (5372) |
OM omnibus-076daaCTR<$100 | Ava Beckavg 23¢ | $5.29 | — | -$5.29 | 46% 568-669 (1237) |
Invested
$1,247.29
Value
$1.6K
PnL
+$367.62
Record
37%
459-785 (1244)
Invested
$456.95
Value
$636.38
PnL
+$179.43
Record
40%
652-976 (1628)
Invested
$570
Value
$600
PnL
+$30
Record
46%
809-954 (1763)
Invested
$420.46
Value
$458.16
PnL
+$79.54
Record
53%
7331-6407 (13738)
Invested
$358.93
Value
$205
PnL
-$153.93
Record
38%
1351-2180 (3531)
Both legs:
Invested
$729.2
Value
$352
PnL
+$81.21
Record
47%
3580-3963 (7543)
Invested
$153.12
Value
$176
PnL
+$22.88
Record
46%
884-1056 (1940)
Invested
$98.84
Value
$154.23
PnL
+$55.39
Record
45%
433-525 (958)
Invested
$97.84
Value
$98.73
PnL
+$0.89
Record
94%
155-10 (165)
Invested
$34.65
Value
$35
PnL
+$0.35
Record
98%
587-9 (596)
Invested
$10.45
Value
—
PnL
-$10.45
Record
50%
2696-2676 (5372)
Invested
$5.29
Value
—
PnL
-$5.29
Record
46%
568-669 (1237)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
SlickRick123
Hikaru Sato — $1.6K
0xdbdd45150249e229eB4cA8aa48A30Dca21Faa5de-1757094771846
Hikaru Sato — $636.38
smithagent
Hikaru Sato — $600
cigarettes
Hikaru Sato — $458.16
topdogbigboi
ARBArbitrage — excluded
38791873984189
Hikaru Sato — $352
lryyy
Hikaru Sato — $176
0xa85B3359D5e0BDCB925F6A2B94ddfBF6d403eb0
Hikaru Sato — $154.23
Rock.San
Hikaru Sato — $98.73
0xB595d09Ce5bBc4d39E3b3D04E80C402d2C8D5922-1769777706105
Hikaru Sato — $35