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Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Noah Held — but Julien Penzlin won instead.
M15 Monastir: Julien Penzlin vs Noah Held
Resolved Julien Penzlin. 88% of the top Polymarket traders held Noah Held. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
8
Noah Held 88%
Total Value
$75.19
Combined PnL
$0
Smart Money Signal
Noah Held
7 of 8 top traders (88%)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Julien Penzlin100%
Noah Held0%
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xec0fab67...5e3581
Slug
itf-penzli1-held2-2026-11-03