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Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Eliot Nobel — but Mikael Arseneault won instead.
M15 Trois-Rivières: Eliot Nobel vs Mikael Arseneault
Resolved Mikael Arseneault. 60% of the top Polymarket traders held Eliot Nobel. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
5
Eliot Nobel 60%
Total Value
$4.99
Combined PnL
$0
Smart Money Signal
Eliot Nobel
3 of 5 top traders (60%)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Eliot Nobel0%
Mikael Arseneault100%
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x5829c412...bff802
Slug
itf-nobel1-arsene3-2026-11-05