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Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Thasaporn Naklo — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Thasaporn Naklo

W15 Maanshan: Thasaporn Naklo vs Xi Luo

Resolved Thasaporn Naklo. 67% of the top Polymarket traders held Thasaporn Naklo. The smart money was right.

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RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

12

Thasaporn Naklo 70%

Total Value

$527.65

Combined PnL

$126.91

Smart Money Signal

Thasaporn Naklo

8 of 12 top traders (67%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%8 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Thasaporn Naklo100%

Xi Luo0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Thasaporn Naklo8 traders

Total Value$527.65

Total Shares528

Combined PnL+$125.78

Xi Luo4 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares574

Combined PnL+$1.13

Thasaporn Naklo — 67%Xi Luo — 33%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
0X 0xa85B3359D5e0BDCB925F6A2B94ddfBF6d403eb0	Thasaporn Nakloavg 80¢	$160	$200	+$40	45% 440-539 (979)
38 38791873984189	Thasaporn Nakloavg 80.8¢	$191.12	$94	+$34.89	48% 3837-4187 (8024)
LR lryyy<$100	Thasaporn Nakloavg 80¢	$70.4	$88	+$17.6	45% 935-1121 (2056)
SL SlickRick123<$100	Thasaporn Nakloavg 80¢	$60	$75	+$15	37% 473-802 (1275)
OM omnibus-076daa<$100	Thasaporn Nakloavg 67¢	$32.34	$48.27	+$15.93	46% 597-711 (1308)
LO looppau<$100	Thasaporn Nakloavg 99.9¢	$15.79	$15.81	+$0.02	99% 801-2 (803)
PA Pan9X<$100	Thasaporn Nakloavg 64¢	$4.17	$6.52	+$2.35	50% 2084-2112 (4196)
CA CandleHammerDrumsCTR	Xi Luoavg 1.2¢	$158.32	—	+$30.68	49% 605-633 (1238)
LE LeLynxMalynxCTR<$100	Xi Luoavg 33¢	$15.09	—	-$15.09	56% 631-497 (1128)
TO topdogbigboiCTR<$100	Xi Luoavg 18¢	$6.96	—	-$6.96	39% 1498-2355 (3853)
NO NotJump	Thasaporn Nakloavg 50¢	$1.1K	$0.05	+$0	50% 1055-1041 (2096)
GL glennyorkshireCTR<$100	Xi Luoavg 36¢	$10	—	-$7.5	48% 207-227 (434)

0xa85B3359D5e0BDCB925F6A2B94ddfBF6d403eb0

Thasaporn Naklo

Invested

$160

Value

$200

PnL

+$40

Record

45%

440-539 (979)

Thasaporn Naklo

Invested

$191.12

Value

$94

PnL

+$34.89

Record

48%

3837-4187 (8024)

Thasaporn Naklo

Invested

$70.4

Value

$88

PnL

+$17.6

Record

45%

935-1121 (2056)

SlickRick123<$100

Thasaporn Naklo

Invested

$60

Value

$75

PnL

+$15

Record

37%

473-802 (1275)

omnibus-076daa<$100

Thasaporn Naklo

Invested

$32.34

Value

$48.27

PnL

+$15.93

Record

46%

597-711 (1308)

Thasaporn Naklo

Invested

$15.79

Value

$15.81

PnL

+$0.02

Record

99%

801-2 (803)

Thasaporn Naklo

Invested

$4.17

Value

$6.52

PnL

+$2.35

Record

50%

2084-2112 (4196)

CandleHammerDrumsCTR

Invested

$158.32

Value

—

PnL

+$30.68

Record

49%

605-633 (1238)

LeLynxMalynxCTR<$100

Invested

$15.09

Value

—

PnL

-$15.09

Record

56%

631-497 (1128)

topdogbigboiCTR<$100

Invested

$6.96

Value

—

PnL

-$6.96

Record

39%

1498-2355 (3853)

Thasaporn Naklo

Invested

$1,050

Value

$0.05

PnL

+$0

Record

50%

1055-1041 (2096)

glennyorkshireCTR<$100

Invested

$10

Value

—

PnL

-$7.5

Record

48%

207-227 (434)

Smart Money Signal

Thasaporn Naklo

8 of 12 top traders (67%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%8 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0x52ee625d...a69bec

Slug

itf-naklo1-luo1-2026-11-15

Traders in this Market

0xa85B3359D5e0BDCB925F6A2B94ddfBF6d403eb0

Thasaporn Naklo — $200

38791873984189

Thasaporn Naklo — $94

lryyy

Thasaporn Naklo — $88

SlickRick123

Thasaporn Naklo — $75

omnibus-076daa

Thasaporn Naklo — $48.27

looppau

Thasaporn Naklo — $15.81

Pan9X

Thasaporn Naklo — $6.52

CandleHammerDrums

Xi Luo — $0

LeLynxMalynx

Xi Luo — $0

topdogbigboi

Xi Luo — $0

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