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Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Calvin Mueller — but Edoardo Cherie Ligniere won instead.
M15 Fergana: Calvin Mueller vs Edoardo Cherie Ligniere
Resolved Edoardo Cherie Ligniere. 33% of the top Polymarket traders held Calvin Mueller. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
6
Calvin Mueller 33%
Total Value
$150.81
Combined PnL
$0
Smart Money Signal
Calvin Mueller
2 of 6 top traders (33%)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Calvin Mueller0%
Edoardo Cherie Ligniere100%
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xf70471cd...d57396
Slug
itf-muelle1-lignie1-2026-11-05