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Marie MettrauxCatarina MelleiroCatarina MelleiroCatarina MelleiroMarie Mettraux
Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Marie Mettraux — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Marie Mettraux
W15 São Carlos: Marie Mettraux vs Catarina Melleiro
Resolved Marie Mettraux. 40% of the top Polymarket traders held Marie Mettraux. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
5
Marie Mettraux 25%
Total Value
$158.94
Combined PnL
-$15.16
Smart Money Signal
Marie Mettraux
2 of 5 top traders (40%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%3 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Marie Mettraux100%
Catarina Melleiro0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Marie Mettraux2 traders
Total Value$158.94
Total Shares159
Combined PnL+$0.16
Catarina Melleiro3 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares399
Combined PnL-$15.32
Marie Mettraux — 40%Catarina Melleiro — 60%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
LO looppau | Marie Mettrauxavg 99.9¢ | $158.73 | $158.89 | +$0.16 | 100% 373-0 (373) |
CA CandleHammerDrumsCTR<$100 | Catarina Melleiroavg 2.3¢ | $4.92 | — | -$4.92 | 48% 335-369 (704) |
38 38791873984189CTR<$100 | Catarina Melleiroavg 5.6¢ | $8.9 | — | -$8.9 | 48% 2191-2368 (4559) |
SM smithagentCTR<$100 | Catarina Melleiroavg 5¢ | $1.5 | — | -$1.5 | 43% 344-463 (807) |
NO NotJump | Marie Mettrauxavg 50¢ | $1.1K | $0.05 | +$0 | 54% 439-373 (812) |
LO
looppauInvested
$158.73
Value
$158.89
PnL
+$0.16
Record
100%
373-0 (373)
CA
CandleHammerDrumsCTR<$100Invested
$4.92
Value
—
PnL
-$4.92
Record
48%
335-369 (704)
38
38791873984189CTR<$100Invested
$8.9
Value
—
PnL
-$8.9
Record
48%
2191-2368 (4559)
SM
smithagentCTR<$100Invested
$1.5
Value
—
PnL
-$1.5
Record
43%
344-463 (807)
NO
NotJumpInvested
$1,050
Value
$0.05
PnL
+$0
Record
54%
439-373 (812)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xb0a5eaaf...b3fb22
Slug
itf-mettra1-mellei1-2026-11-12