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Catarina MelleiroCatarina MelleiroSabrina DiasSabrina DiasSabrina DiasSabrina Dias
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Sabrina Dias — but Catarina Melleiro won instead.
W15 São Carlos: Catarina Melleiro vs Sabrina Dias
Resolved Catarina Melleiro. 67% of the top Polymarket traders held Sabrina Dias. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
6
Sabrina Dias 67%
Total Value
$210.59
Combined PnL
-$137.91
Smart Money Signal
Sabrina Dias
4 of 6 top traders (67%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%4 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Catarina Melleiro100%
Sabrina Dias0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Catarina Melleiro2 traders
Total Value$210.59
Total Shares211
Combined PnL+$75.06
Sabrina Dias4 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares314
Combined PnL-$212.97
Catarina Melleiro — 33%Sabrina Dias — 67%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
38 38791873984189 | Catarina Melleiroavg 40.1¢ | $88.03 | $160.59 | +$72.56 | 48% 947-1017 (1964) |
CI cigarettes<$100 | Catarina Melleiroavg 95¢ | $47.5 | $50 | +$2.5 | 53% 5511-4919 (10430) |
KE keeptheblueflagflyinghighCTR<$100 | Sabrina Diasavg 49¢ | $17.15 | — | -$17.15 | 54% 1656-1433 (3089) |
US User7429CTR<$100 | Sabrina Diasavg 20¢ | $1 | — | -$1 | 19% 77-326 (403) |
OM omnibus-076daaCTR | Sabrina Diasavg 77¢ | $193.94 | — | -$193.94 | 39% 233-357 (590) |
LR lryyyCTR<$100 | Sabrina Diasavg 4¢ | $0.88 | — | -$0.88 | 50% 182-180 (362) |
38
38791873984189Invested
$88.03
Value
$160.59
PnL
+$72.56
Record
48%
947-1017 (1964)
CI
cigarettes<$100Invested
$47.5
Value
$50
PnL
+$2.5
Record
53%
5511-4919 (10430)
KE
keeptheblueflagflyinghighCTR<$100Invested
$17.15
Value
—
PnL
-$17.15
Record
54%
1656-1433 (3089)
US
User7429CTR<$100Invested
$1
Value
—
PnL
-$1
Record
19%
77-326 (403)
OM
omnibus-076daaCTRInvested
$193.94
Value
—
PnL
-$193.94
Record
39%
233-357 (590)
LR
lryyyCTR<$100Invested
$0.88
Value
—
PnL
-$0.88
Record
50%
182-180 (362)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x8fc3b5eb...232cfe
Slug
itf-mellei1-dias2-2026-11-10