Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Martin VAN DER MEERSCHEN — but Evgenii Tiurnev won instead.
M15 Antalya: Martin VAN DER MEERSCHEN vs Evgenii Tiurnev
Resolved Evgenii Tiurnev. 67% of the top Polymarket traders held Martin VAN DER MEERSCHEN. The smart money was wrong.
💀
Lost
6
Martin VAN DER MEERSCHEN 80%
$1.56
-$575.2
Smart Money Signal
4 of 6 top traders (67%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%2 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 alpheclabs2CTR | Martin VAN DER MEERSCHENavg 73¢ | $200.91 | — | -$200.91 | 45% 186-224 (410) |
CA CandleHammerDrumsCTR | Martin VAN DER MEERSCHENavg 72.4¢ | $191.62 | — | -$191.62 | 47% 325-361 (686) |
KE keeptheblueflagflyinghighCTR | Martin VAN DER MEERSCHENavg 74¢ | $104.94 | — | -$104.94 | 51% 2043-1952 (3995) |
38 38791873984189CTR<$100 | Martin VAN DER MEERSCHENavg 74¢ | $78.86 | — | -$78.86 | 48% 2064-2270 (4334) |
TO topdogbigboi<$100 | Evgenii Tiurnevavg 25¢ | $0.38 | $1.51 | +$1.13 | 37% 524-893 (1417) |
NO NotJump | Evgenii Tiurnevavg 50¢ | $1.1K | $0.05 | +$0 | 54% 417-355 (772) |
alpheclabs2CTRInvested
$200.91
Value
—
PnL
-$200.91
Record
45%
186-224 (410)
Invested
$191.62
Value
—
PnL
-$191.62
Record
47%
325-361 (686)
Invested
$104.94
Value
—
PnL
-$104.94
Record
51%
2043-1952 (3995)
Invested
$78.86
Value
—
PnL
-$78.86
Record
48%
2064-2270 (4334)
Invested
$0.38
Value
$1.51
PnL
+$1.13
Record
37%
524-893 (1417)
Invested
$1,050
Value
$0.05
PnL
+$0
Record
54%
417-355 (772)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
alpheclabs2
CTRMartin VAN DER MEERSCHEN — $0
CandleHammerDrums
CTRMartin VAN DER MEERSCHEN — $0
keeptheblueflagflyinghigh
CTRMartin VAN DER MEERSCHEN — $0
38791873984189
CTRMartin VAN DER MEERSCHEN — $0
topdogbigboi
Evgenii Tiurnev — $1.51
NotJump
Evgenii Tiurnev — $0.05