Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Karla Bartel — but Mia Kupres won instead.
W15 Lincoln, NE: Mia Kupres vs Karla Bartel
Resolved Mia Kupres. 86% of the top Polymarket traders held Karla Bartel. The smart money was wrong.
💀
Lost
7
Karla Bartel 83%
$10.59
-$76.37
Smart Money Signal
6 of 7 top traders (86%)6 hold an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0xdbdd45150249e229eB4cA8aa48A30Dca21Faa5de-1757094771846<$100 | Mia Kupresavg 85¢ | $9 | $10.59 | +$1.59 | 39% 562-895 (1457) |
38 38791873984189CTR<$100 | Karla Bartelavg 15¢ | $40.82 | — | -$40.82 | 48% 3239-3552 (6791) |
CI cigarettesCTR<$100 | Karla Bartelavg 19¢ | $26.18 | — | -$26.18 | 53% 7137-6246 (13383) |
CA CandleHammerDrumsCTR<$100 | Karla Bartelavg 12.7¢ | $6.69 | — | -$6.69 | 48% 526-562 (1088) |
 RN1CTR<$100 | Karla Bartelavg 19¢ | $3.62 | — | -$3.62 | 55% 5402-4371 (9773) |
KE keeptheblueflagflyinghighCTR<$100 | Karla Bartelavg 4¢ | $0.6 | — | -$0.6 | 50% 2543-2505 (5048) |
NO NotJumpCTR | Karla Bartelavg 50¢ | $1.1K | — | -$0.05 | 51% 850-801 (1651) |
Invested
$9
Value
$10.59
PnL
+$1.59
Record
39%
562-895 (1457)
Invested
$40.82
Value
—
PnL
-$40.82
Record
48%
3239-3552 (6791)
Invested
$26.18
Value
—
PnL
-$26.18
Record
53%
7137-6246 (13383)
Invested
$6.69
Value
—
PnL
-$6.69
Record
48%
526-562 (1088)
RN1CTR<$100Invested
$3.62
Value
—
PnL
-$3.62
Record
55%
5402-4371 (9773)
Invested
$0.6
Value
—
PnL
-$0.6
Record
50%
2543-2505 (5048)
Invested
$1,050
Value
—
PnL
-$0.05
Record
51%
850-801 (1651)
Chat
Market Info
Traders in this Market
0xdbdd45150249e229eB4cA8aa48A30Dca21Faa5de-1757094771846
Mia Kupres — $10.59
38791873984189
CTRKarla Bartel — $0
cigarettes
CTRKarla Bartel — $0
CandleHammerDrums
CTRKarla Bartel — $0
RN1
CTRKarla Bartel — $0
keeptheblueflagflyinghigh
CTRKarla Bartel — $0
NotJump
CTRKarla Bartel — $0