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Artur KukasianFiliberto Fumagalli
poshposh<$100Artur KukasianFiliberto FumagalliFiliberto FumagalliFiliberto Fumagalli
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Filiberto Fumagalli — but Artur Kukasian won instead.
M15 Sharm ElSheikh: Artur Kukasian vs Filiberto Fumagalli
Resolved Artur Kukasian. 67% of the top Polymarket traders held Filiberto Fumagalli. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
6
Filiberto Fumagalli 67%
Total Value
$23.45
Combined PnL
-$42.93
Smart Money Signal
Filiberto Fumagalli
4 of 6 top traders (67%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Artur Kukasian100%
Filiberto Fumagalli0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Artur Kukasian2 traders
Total Value$23.45
Total Shares23
Combined PnL+$33.4
Filiberto Fumagalli4 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares198
Combined PnL-$76.34
Artur Kukasian — 33%Filiberto Fumagalli — 67%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
38 38791873984189<$100 | Artur Kukasianavg 47.2¢ | $41.57 | $16.7 | +$29.89 | 48% 3196-3499 (6695) |
TO topdogbigboiCTR<$100 | Filiberto Fumagalliavg 42.5¢ | $55.06 | — | -$55.06 | 37% 1016-1695 (2711) |
poshposh<$100 | Artur Kukasianavg 48¢ | $3.24 | $6.75 | +$3.51 | 48% 1092-1167 (2259) |
GL glennyorkshireCTR<$100 | Filiberto Fumagalliavg 55¢ | $20 | — | -$20 | 45% 158-194 (352) |
KE keeptheblueflagflyinghighCTR<$100 | Filiberto Fumagalliavg 4¢ | $1.08 | — | -$1.08 | 50% 2504-2463 (4967) |
CA CandleHammerDrumsCTR<$100 | Filiberto Fumagalliavg 4¢ | $0.2 | — | -$0.2 | 48% 509-543 (1052) |
38
38791873984189<$100Invested
$41.57
Value
$16.7
PnL
+$29.89
Record
48%
3196-3499 (6695)
TO
topdogbigboiCTR<$100Invested
$55.06
Value
—
PnL
-$55.06
Record
37%
1016-1695 (2711)
poshposh<$100Invested
$3.24
Value
$6.75
PnL
+$3.51
Record
48%
1092-1167 (2259)
GL
glennyorkshireCTR<$100Invested
$20
Value
—
PnL
-$20
Record
45%
158-194 (352)
KE
keeptheblueflagflyinghighCTR<$100Invested
$1.08
Value
—
PnL
-$1.08
Record
50%
2504-2463 (4967)
CA
CandleHammerDrumsCTR<$100Invested
$0.2
Value
—
PnL
-$0.2
Record
48%
509-543 (1052)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x7b7f9aaa...4bea34
Slug
itf-kukasi1-fumaga2-2026-11-14